Citi's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings

Citi's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Review Summary:

Overview

  • The global economy remains resilient, although the macro backdrop varies across key markets.
    Central banks are responding to inflation, indicating the cycle of interest rate hikes is not over.

  • The US labour market remains tight, pushing the timing of a potential recession later into 2023 or even 2024.
    Robust demand for services acts as a backstop for the economy.

Eurozone and China

  • The Eurozone has exceeded expectations, but countries face challenges from labour and energy costs, impacting the region's long-term competitiveness.

  • China's growth has decelerated after an initial post-reopening surge, disappointing expectations of being a strong driver of global growth.

Financials and business

  • Citi's diversified business model and strong balance sheet help navigate challenging macroeconomic conditions.

  • Net income for the quarter was $2.9 billion, with an EPS of $1.33. Revenues, excluding divestitures, were relatively flat compared to the previous year.

  • Cost-saving measures are being pursued to offset significant investments in the bank's transformation.

  • Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS) and security services have shown strong performance with revenues up 15% driven by fee-generating mandates and new client relationships.

  • Markets revenues were down 13% due to low volatility and clients standing on the sidelines during the debt ceiling situation. However, corporate client flows remained strong.

  • Investment banking revenues were disappointing, down 24% due to heightened macro uncertainty impacting client activity.

  • Citi's cards businesses experienced double-digit revenue growth, driven by customer engagement and the normalization of payment rates. Wealth revenues were down 5% due to the deposit mix shift and lower investment revenues.

  • Expenses were elevated, including additional repositioning actions, but the bank remains committed to bending the expense curve by the end of 2024.

Forward guidance

  • Citi aims to close the sales of its remaining two Asia consumer franchises and restart the exit process in Poland to simplify its operations.

  • Capital allocation and utilization, as well as management buffers, will be considered to reduce capital ratios.

  • Citi ended the quarter with a CET1 ratio of 13.3% and a tangible book value per share of $85.34.

  • The bank is engaging in dialogue with regulators to better understand differences in capital requirements and implementation timing.

  • Despite challenges, Citi remains focused on executing its strategy and achieving its medium-term return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) target.

  • The Institutional Clients Group reported a 9% decline in revenues, while Personal Banking and Wealth Management revenues increased by 6%.

  • Citi maintains its full-year revenue guidance of $78 billion to $79 billion, with an increased net interest income guidance. Expense guidance remains around $54 billion.

  • The bank expects net credit losses in cards to continue normalizing and a tax rate of approximately 25% for the full year.

  • Citi continues to simplify its operations, improve revenue mix, and work toward reducing expenses and capital over time.

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